Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Santa Cruz Recife		Brusque

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.6	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.25
	1.62	3.45	4.9
	1.67	3.66	5.68
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.63	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	4.84 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
55.7%

Draw
25.4%

Brusque
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

16.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B).

Brusque is Qualified for Serie B

Santa Cruz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brusque is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
09.01.21	Vila Nova - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
03.01.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Ituano	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
31.12.20	Aurora - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Guabirá	4:4 ✺
27.12.20	Nacional Potosí - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.01.21	Brusque - Ituano	4:2 ✺
02.01.21	Vila Nova - Brusque	0:3 ✺
26.12.20	Brusque - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
21.12.20	Ituano - Brusque	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
13.12.20	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0

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