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Current Win Probability
Sarmiento de Junín 24.9%
Draw 33%
Tigre 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
33.3%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
31.9%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tigre will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 14. Martinez M. 15. Zabala C. 8. Salle S. 27. Marabel J. 11. Gomez J. 7. Magnin P.
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 4. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 3. Banegas N. 23. Pineiro G. 5. Leyes B. 10. Saralegui J. 28. Martinez P. 33. Cabrera E. 29. Russo I.
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 19. Contrera J. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 18. Gimenez O. 40. Marquez B. 30. Monaco M. 3. Suarez L.
24. Alvarez F. 42. Arias R. 30. Elias J. 18. Fernandez M. 8. Garay M. 22. Lopez S. 55. Mosqueira J. 77. Rivas M. 11. Serrago T. 17. Soto G. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.
Coaches
Sava F.
Dabove D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Pasquini N. ⚽,
23', Martinez M. 🟨,
27', Russo I. 🟨,
31', Martinez P. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
42', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cabrera E. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
56', Lopez S. 🟨,
62', Magnin P. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
72', Moreno V. 🟨,
75', Saralegui J. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
75', Moreno V. ↓, Soto G. ↑,
77', Zabala C. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
77', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
82', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
84', Gomez J. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
84', Salle S. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
85', Pineiro G. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90+6', Laso J. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.
Sarmiento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tigre's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tigre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tigre might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Lezcano S.
(Inactive)
Oviedo A.
(Injury)
Romero D.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R.
(Inactive)
Renteria J.
(Injury)
Villalba C.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
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Burrai J. (G) 
Santamaria T. 
Marabel J. 
Arias R. 
Elias J. 
Rivas M. 
Soto G. 
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