Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Schalke 04		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	1.75	4	3.9	Watch
	1.78	3.8	3.95	Watch
	1.82	3.94	4.38
	1.77	3.77	4.26	Watch
				Watch
	1.75	4.1	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.92 ↑ (3.65)	4.14 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
53.2%

Draw
24%

Greuther Fürth
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.6%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	3.2%	9.7%

Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Schalke (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Schalke 04 will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Schalke 04 will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 17. Gantenbein A. 23. El-Faouzi S. 6. Schallenberg R. 33. Becker V. 7. Gomis C. 19. Karaman K. 9. Sylla M.	26. Boevink P. (G) 23. Dehm J. 4. Ziereis P. 25. Bjarnason B. 27. Itter G. 8. Olesen M. 24. John M. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. 16. Keller A. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
18. Antwi-Adjei C. 43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 11. Lasme B. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F. 8. Younes A. 16. Zalazar M.	14. Consbruch J. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 17. Konig N. 5. Munz R. 43. Prufrock S. (G) 2. Reich L. 42. Sillah O. 7. Srbeny D.
Coaches
Muslic M.	Kleine T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Becker T. ↓, Ayhan M. ↑,
25', Dehm J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ziereis P. 🟨,
62', Bjarnason B. ↓, Munz R. ↑,
62', Keller A. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
62', Olesen M. ↓, Green J. ↑,
71', Gantenbein A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
71', Gomis C. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
77', 1 - 0, Porath F. ⚽,
84', Hrgota B. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
84', Dehm J. ↓, Sillah O. ↑,
86', Sylla M. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
87', Ayhan M. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
90+2', Katic N. 🟨,
90+8', Becker V. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Schalke is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Schalke: Amoussou-Tchibara Z. (Knee Injury) Gruger M. (Foot Injury) Hojlund E. (Heel Injury) Kalas T. (Knock)

There will not play in Fürth: Banse S. (Knee Injury) Dietz M. (Injury) Korber N. (Shoulder Injury) Schlieck T. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Remmert P. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Magdeburg - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Schalke 04	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Greuther Fürth	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.25	Augsburg - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Magdeburg - Greuther Fürth	4:5 ✺
24.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
30.03.25	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	3:3
26.10.24	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	3:4
19.05.24	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	2:0
15.12.23	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	2:2
German Bundesliga
02.02.13	Schalke 04 - Greuther Fürth	1:2
15.09.12	Greuther Fürth - Schalke 04	0:2

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