Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Belarus	16:30	Sport TV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	Sky Sport Max
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Mongolia	21:30	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	21:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	RB Leipzig		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	1.53	5	5	Watch
	1.44	5.25	5.75
	1.5	4.9	5.3	Watch
	1.54	5	5.51
	1.53	4.92	5.2	Watch
	1.52	4.9	5.35
	1.55	5.05	5.05	Watch
	1.54	5.2	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.33)	5.03 ↓ (6)	5.3 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
62.9%

Draw
19%

Elversberg
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.2%

15.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

14.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RB Leipzig's form might have worsened.

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elversberg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RB Leipzig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elversberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	8.3%	2.8%

RB Leipzig - Elversberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - RB Leipzig (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - RB Leipzig (1.53) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nyland O. (G) 39. Henrichs B. 4. Orban W. (C) 3. Esteve M. 35. Finkgrafe M. 30. Maksimovic A. 20. Reitz R. 21. El Aynaoui N. 6. Banzuzi E. 7. Nusa A. 27. Gomis T.	20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 17. Schmahl F. 7. Krattenmacher M. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.
Substitutes
17. Baku R. 14. Baumgartner C. 10. Gruda B. 2. Kone A. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. 40. Romulo Cardoso 13. Seiwald N. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)	15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 39. Campbell C. 6. Conde A. 9. Futkeu N. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 40. Onyeka F. 26. Sirch L.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Wagner V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Maksimovic A. ↓, Romulo Cardoso ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Gomis T. ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
59', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
59', Gyamerah J. ↓, Sirch L. ↑,
59', Reitz R. 🟨,
62', Reitz R. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Romulo Cardoso ⚽, Nusa A. (A),
71', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
71', Schmahl F. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
72', Nusa A. ↓, Seiwald N. ↑,
72', Banzuzi E. ↓, Baumgartner C. ↑,
74', Gunther L. 🟨,
82', Gunther L. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Baumgartner C. ⚽, Gruda B. (A),
87', Gomis T. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 0, Romulo Cardoso ⚽, Kone A. (A),

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Elversberg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

RB Leipzig holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for RB Leipzig: Guiu M. (Hamstring Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Shoulder Injury).

Confirmed absences for Elversberg: Seifert L. (Ankle Injury) Zimmerschied T. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Elversberg: Darvich N. (Injury) Onyeka F. (Foot Injury).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for RB Leipzig against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	RB Leipzig	7	4	0	3	20:11	9	12
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

RB Leipzig: 2.13% Elversberg: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Real Madrid - RB Leipzig	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	RB Leipzig - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- SV Elversberg
German Bundesliga
17.10.26	Elversberg - Augsburg	4:3 ✺
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.14	RB Leipzig - Elversberg	2:0
07.09.13	Elversberg - RB Leipzig	1:0

Upcoming Matches