Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Scunthorpe United		Newport County

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.83
	4.33	3.5	1.78
	4.25	3.8	1.8
	4.1	3.5	1.83
	4.42	3.75	1.84
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	4.55	3.78	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.78)	3.65 ↑ (3.6)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
22.2%

Draw
26%

Newport County
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.1%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

20.4%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scunthorpe United - Newport County Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (59.27%), has project points - 36, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Newport has the most likely position - 9 (8.27%), has project points - 69, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Scunthorpe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Newport is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Scunthorpe have a series of guest games.

In this match Newport is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English League Two
15.01.22	Exeter City - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
08.01.22	Tranmere Rovers - Scunthorpe United	4:0 ✺
01.01.22	Scunthorpe United - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
26.12.21	Oldham Athletic - Scunthorpe United	1:3 ✺
11.12.21	Hartlepool United - Scunthorpe United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWT
- Newport County
English League Two
15.01.22	Newport County - Harrogate Town	4:0 ✺
08.01.22	Newport County - Salford City	0:2 ✺
01.01.22	Walsall - Newport County	3:3 ✺
18.12.21	Rochdale - Newport County	3:0 ✺
11.12.21	Newport County - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.10.21	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	3:0
27.04.21	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	4:0
12.09.20	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:1
11.01.20	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:2
19.10.19	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	2:1
01.03.14	Newport County - Scunthorpe United	2:2
31.08.13	Scunthorpe United - Newport County	1:1

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