The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Exeter City 61.6%
Draw 23.2%
Scunthorpe United 15.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
25.5%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
16.5%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter City's performance.
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scunthorpe United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Exeter City - Scunthorpe United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Exeter has the most likely position - 7 (7.73%), has project points - 68, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a chance of promoted (17%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Scunthorpe has the most likely position - 24 (51.49%), has project points - 37, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (73%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Exeter has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Scunthorpe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Scunthorpe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Scunthorpe have a series of guest games.
In this match Exeter is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Exeter won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.