Match Info

Leagues Cup

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Seattle Sounders		Chivas Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	4.20	5.00	1.60	Watch
	4.50	4.10	1.53
	4.30	4.50	1.63
	4.85	4.50	1.62
	3.26	3.85	2.06
	4.65	4.45	1.59
	4.04	5.05	1.65	Watch
	4.60	4.30	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (2.29)	4.47 ↑ (3.56)	1.67 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
22%

Draw
21.2%

Chivas Guadalajara
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.1%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

25.1%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Sounders's form might have worsened.

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (+20.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Sounders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-25%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	16.7%	75%

Seattle Sounders - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Frei S. (C) 35. Lopez A. 4. Sailor R. 39. Hawkins S. 53. Sandnes G. 40. O'Neill M. 84. Gaffney C. 30. Carli E. 9. Ferreira J. 90. Gomez S. 95. De Rosario O.	13. Whalley O. (G) 16. Rey L. 7. Romo L. (C) 3. Campillo Del Campo D. 28. Gonzalez F. 24. Gomez M. 11. Gutierrez B. 33. Carrillo J. 5. Gonzalez B. 17. Marin R. 25. Alvarado R.
Substitutes
50. Anchor M. (G) 32. Gnaulati X. 42. Jauregui R. 20. Kim Kee-Hee 45. Kingston P. 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 19. Musovski D. 5. Nouhou 25. Ragen J. 16. Roldan A. 14. Rothrock P. 26. Thomas A. (G)	10. Alvarez E. 14. Camberos H. 19. Castaneda K. 56. Chavez A. 34. Gonzalez A. 59. Inda S. 37. Ledezma R. 18. Perez J. 1. Rangel R. (G) 190. Romero A. (G) 30. Sandoval S. 9. Sepulveda A.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Sandnes G. ⚽, Lopez A. (A),
25', Gonzalez B. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
45', Rey L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, Rey L. ⚽,
63', Ferreira J. ↓, Rothrock P. ↑,
63', Gomez S. ↓, Kingston P. ↑,
71', Carrillo J. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
71', Alvarado R. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
71', Marin R. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Sandoval S. ⚽, Romo L. (A),
72', Gaffney C. ↓, Kossa-Rienzi K. ↑,
72', Sailor R. ↓, Kim Kee-Hee ↑,
82', Gomez M. ↓, Ledezma R. ↑,
84', O'Neill M. ↓, Roldan A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Guadalajara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Seattle has had a series of away games.

Guadalajara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Seattle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Sounders - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Chivas Guadalajara - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.15%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
CONCACAF League Cup
09.08.26	Seattle Sounders - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
05.08.26	Toluca - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
22.07.26	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Chivas Guadalajara
CONCACAF League Cup
08.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	Los Angeles - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga MX
31.07.26	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.03.18	Chivas Guadalajara - Seattle Sounders	3:0
07.03.18	Seattle Sounders - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0

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