Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Play Offs - Final

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah (Rabat) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	Meraj Sport, Tolo TV
Africa	—	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 1, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 4, New World Sport 5, New World Sport 6, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL
Andorra	20:00	beIN Sports 1
Angola	20:00	TPA 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:00	DAZN
Benin	20:00	Benin TV
Brazil	16:00	Band Play, BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:00	Max Sport 2
Burkina Faso	19:00	RTB
Cameroon	20:00	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Dash TV, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
Canada	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	03:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	Win play, Win Sports
Comoros	22:00	ORTC
Cote D Ivoire	19:00	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	21:00	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Equatorial Guinea	20:00	TVGE Internacional
Finland	21:00	Veikkaus TV
France	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, M6
Gabon	20:00	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Germany	20:00	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	21:00	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 3
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	21:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:00	Sportitalia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:00	Sport+
Kosovo	20:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	22:00	MATV
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mali	19:00	ORTM
Mauritius	23:00	MBC 11
Mexico	13:00	Claro Sports, FOX One, Fox Sports
Morocco	20:00	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
Mozambique	21:00	TVM 1, TV Miramar
Netherlands	20:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	NTA Sports, SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	20:00	VG+
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	19:00	Sport TV3
Republic Of The Congo	—	Tele Congo
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Senegal	19:00	RTS 1, RTS 2
Serbia	20:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	21:00	SABC 2, SABC Plus, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL
Spain	20:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Suriname	16:00	QN Sports, SCCN
Switzerland	20:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	22:00	ZBC Tanzania
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Togo	19:00	TVT
Turkey	22:00	Exxen
Uganda	22:00	UBC TV
Ukraine	21:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:00	Channel 4, E4
Usa	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Zambia	21:00	ZNBC 1


	Senegal		Morocco

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.7	2.78	2.38	Watch
	4.06	2.73	2.39	Watch
	3.75	2.63	2.3
	4.05	2.78	2.42	Watch
	4	2.66	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.55)	2.73 ↓ (3.02)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senegal
24.4%

Draw
35%

Morocco
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

31.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

30.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senegal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Morocco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senegal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	46.7%	26.7%

Senegal - Morocco Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Senegal will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Morocco will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 44.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 62.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Senegal (votes: 2 - 40%). Morocco (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Morocco (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Senegal (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Senegal (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Senegal (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Senegal (votes: 6 - 60%). Morocco (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) Al Ahli SC 24. Mendy A. Nice 2. Sarr M. Strasbourg 19. Niakhate M. Lyon 25. Diouf M. West Ham 13. Ndiaye I. Everton 8. Camara L. Monaco 5. Gueye I. (C) Everton 26. Gueye P. Villarreal 11. Jackson N. Bayern Munich 10. Mane S. Al Nassr	1. Bono (G) Al Hilal 2. Hakimi A. (C) PSG 5. Aguerd N. Marseille 25. Masina A. Torino 3. Mazraoui N. Manchester United 17. Ezzalzouli A. Betis 24. El Aynaoui N. AS Roma 11. Saibari I. PSV 23. El Khannouss B. VfB Stuttgart 20. El Kaabi A. Olympiacos Piraeus 10. Diaz B. Real Madrid
Substitutes
28. Camara M. Berkane 6. Ciss P. Rayo Vallecano 9. Dia B. Lazio 20. Diallo H. Metz 23. Diaw M. (G) Le Havre 1. Diouf Y. (G) Nice 14. Jakobs I. Galatasaray 27. Mbaye I. PSG 12. Ndiaye C. Samsunspor 22. Niang O. Royale Union SG 21. Sabaly C. Metz 18. Sarr I. Crystal Palace 17. Sarr P. M. Tottenham 4. Seck A. Maccabi Haifa	27. Ait Boudlal A. Rennes 16. Akhomach I. Villarreal 22. Al Harrar E. M. (G) Raja Casablanca 4. Amrabat S. Betis 28. Belammari Y. Raja Casablanca 15. Chibi M. Pyramids 18. El Yamiq J. Al Najma 19. En Nesyri Y. Fenerbahce 7. Igamane H. Lille 12. Munir (G) Berkane 9. Rahimi S. Al Ain 6. Saiss R. Al-Sadd 26. Salah-Eddine A. PSV 21. Talbi C. Sunderland 14. Targhalline O. Feyenoord
Coaches
Thiaw P.	Regragui W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Camara L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', Mendy A. ↓, Seck A. ↑,
77', Camara L. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
77', Ndiaye I. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
80', El Kaabi A. ↓, En Nesyri Y. ↑,
80', El Khannouss B. ↓, Targhalline O. ↑,
89', Masina A. ↓, El Yamiq J. ↑,
90+3', Jackson N. ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
90+4', Saibari I. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
90+9', Sarr I. 🟨,
90+10', Diouf M. 🟨,
90+21', Salah-Eddine A. 🟨,
90+21', Mendy E. 🟨,
90+24', Diaz B. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
94', 1 - 0, Gueye P. ⚽, Gueye I. (A),
98', Diaz B. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
98', Mazraoui N. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
106', Diouf M. ↓, Jakobs I. ↑,
112', En Nesyri Y. 🟨,
113', Sarr M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.

Morocco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Morocco might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Senegal: Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Diao A. (Thigh Injury) Diarra H. (Yellow Cards) Koulibaly K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Morocco: Ounahi A. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Morocco: Saiss R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Senegal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senegal
Africa Cup of Nations
14.01.26	Senegal - Egypt	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Mali - Senegal	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Senegal - Sudan	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Benin - Senegal	0:3 ✺
27.12.25	Senegal - D.R. Congo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWT
- Morocco
Africa Cup of Nations
14.01.26	Nigeria - Morocco	0:1 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Cameroon - Morocco	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Morocco - Tanzania	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Zambia - Morocco	0:3 ✺
26.12.25	Morocco - Mali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

African Nations Championship
26.08.25	Morocco - Senegal	2:1 penalties
Friendly
09.10.20	Morocco - Senegal	3:1
25.05.12	Morocco - Senegal	0:1

Senegal - Morocco