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Current Win Probability
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 23%
Draw 30%
Jeju 46.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
30.5%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
29.8%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma's form might have worsened.
Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeju's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jeju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.3%
12.8%
76.9%
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Jeju Predictions
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Jeju will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jeju: 63.7% – 90.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Recently Seongnam have a series of home games.
Jeju United will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 4 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24-28.
Including matches at home between the teams Seongnam won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-11.
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