PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21
Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday
Sertanense
Elvas
1
X
2
4.6
3.2
1.68
4.01
3.06
1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)
4.31 ↓ (7.4)
3.13 ↓ (3.92)
1.82 ↑ (1.41)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sertanense 21.1%
Draw 29%
Elvas 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.3%
23.2%
64.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12%
22.6%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sertanense's performance.
Elvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elvas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertanense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elvas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sertanense - Elvas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Recent matches Sertanense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Elvas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sertanense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Elvas is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
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