Match Info

Date: 23 November 2021, Tuesday


	Sevilla		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	5.25
	1.77	3.5	4.75
	1.68	3.9	5.75
	1.63	3.8	5.8
	1.65	3.93	6.15
	1.65	3.75	5.5
	1.66	3.95	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.81)	3.8 ↑ (3.64)	5.59 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
57.5%

Draw
25.3%

Wolfsburg
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

17%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-23.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	4.2%	8.9%

Sevilla - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (167 of 192 users predict this - 86.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.22% – 91.74%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Sevilla has currently - 3, has a small chance of 1st (6%), has a small chance of 2nd (15%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a chance of round of 16 (20%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wolfsburg has currently - 5, has a small chance of 1st (14%), has a chance of 2nd (36%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a chance of round of 16 (50%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wolfsburg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sevilla is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
20.11.21	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
07.11.21	Betis - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Sevilla - Lille	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.21	Sevilla - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
27.10.21	Mallorca - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLWT
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
20.11.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
06.11.21	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.11.21	Wolfsburg - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.10.21	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
29.09.21	Wolfsburg - Sevilla	1:1

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