Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Tring Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
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World	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.52	3.45	2.72	Watch
	2.58	3.6	2.79
	2.52	3.54	2.72	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.63	Watch
	2.59	3.64	2.82	Watch
	2.54	3.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.68)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)	2.72 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
37.6%

Draw
27.2%

Freiburg
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

25.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	32.1%	32.1%

Wolfsburg - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 18% – 53.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Freiburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wolfsburg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Wolfsburg (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Freiburg (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Freiburg (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 14. Seelt J. 4. Koulierakis K. 25. Zehnter A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 27. Arnold M. (C) 24. Eriksen C. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 17. Pejcinovic D.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 5. Jung A. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 29. Treu P. 14. Suzuki Y. 44. Manzambi J. 9. Holer L.
Substitutes
41. Burger J. 11. Daghim A. 2. Fischer K. 37. Hensel P. 15. Jenz M. 19. Lindstrom J. 12. Pervan P. (G) 32. Svanberg M. 5. Vini Souza	20. Adamu J. 32. Grifo V. 27. Hofler N. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 43. Ogbus B. 7. Scherhant D. 65. Steinmann K.
Coaches
Bauer D.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Treu P. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Wimmer P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Osterhage P. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Treu P. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
67', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
69', 3 - 2, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Wimmer P. (A),
71', 3 - 3, Seelt J. (Own goal),
78', 3 - 4, Scherhant D. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
79', Holer L. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
79', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
80', Eriksen C. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
80', Wimmer P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
82', Arnold M. 🟨,
84', Jung A. 🟨,
88', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
90+1', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Wolfsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (International duty) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Skov Olsen A. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Beste J. (Illness) Irie C. (International duty) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTLL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
14.12.25	Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Heidenheim - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Freiburg - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Freiburg - Mainz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.04.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:1
13.12.24	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	3:2
27.04.24	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	1:2
09.12.23	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	0:1
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	2:3
German Bundesliga
19.05.23	Freiburg - Wolfsburg	2:0
21.01.23	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	6:0

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