Match Info

Date: 18 March 2021, Thursday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Roma

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.4
	2.8	3.5	2.45
	2.65	3.3	2.7
	2.75	3.45	2.4
	2.83	3.56	2.5
	2.7	3.5	2.5
	2.86	3.64	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.72)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	2.5 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
34.5%

Draw
27.3%

Roma
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

19.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shakhtar Donetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	15.1%	21.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 67 - 63.2%). Roma will win (votes: 23 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 54% – 72.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Shakhtar was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Roma was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, has a very good chance of qtrs (97%), has a chance of semis (49%), has a chance of final (23%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
14.03.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Roma - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
06.03.21	Olimpik Donetsk - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
03.03.21	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0 ET ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Zorya Luhansk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
14.03.21	Parma - Roma	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Roma - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.03.21	Roma - Genoa	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
28.02.21	Roma - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Roma - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:0
UEFA Champions League
13.03.18	Roma - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0
21.02.18	Shakhtar Donetsk - Roma	2:1

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