What is the expert prediction for Parma vs Roma?

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Parma vs Roma Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 10, 2026)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1, Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Parma		Roma

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.5	Watch
	6.25	4.1	1.53
	6.9	4.25	1.49	Watch
	6.84	4.53	1.55
	6.38	4.53	1.48	Watch
	5.75	4	1.5
	6.54	4.55	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.45 ↑ (4.7)	4.29 ↑ (3.62)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
14.8%

Draw
22.2%

Roma
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

26.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parma's form might have worsened.

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.6%	12.8%	84.6%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Roma (2.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Roma will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Suzuki Z. (G) 39. Circati A. 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L. 15. Delprato E. (C) 24. Ordonez C. 41. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 16. Keita M. 14. Valeri E. 23. Elphege N. 7. Strefezza G.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 5. Ndicka E. 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 4. Cristante B. (C) 17. Kone M. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 21. Dybala P. 14. Malen D.
Substitutes
11. Almqvist P. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 40. Corvi E. (G) 61. Drobnic D. 8. Estevez N. 76. Mikolajewski D. 3. Ndiaye A. 17. Ondrejka J. 9. Pellegrino M. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O.	3. Angelino 70. De Marzi G. (G) 8. El Aynaoui N. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K. 78. Vaz R. 20. Venturino L. 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Cuesta C.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Malen D. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Strefezza G. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
48', Strefezza G. 🟨,
53', Strefezza G. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
53', Hermoso M. ↓, Ghilardi D. ↑,
58', Soule M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
59', Cristante B. ↓, El Aynaoui N. ↑,
65', Troilo M. 🟨,
74', Valeri E. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
74', Delprato E. ↓, Britschgi S. ↑,
75', Celik Z. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
75', Kone M. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
76', Britschgi S. 🟨,
79', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
79', Elphege N. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Keita M. ⚽, Estevez N. (A),
90+4', 2 - 2, Rensch D. ⚽, Ghilardi D. (A),
90+9', Britschgi S. 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 3, Malen D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 1.

In recent matches, Parma has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roma is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Roma is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Parma: Bernabe A. (Muscle Injury) Cremaschi B. (Knee Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Oristanio G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Roma: Dovbyk A. (Groin Injury) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Thigh Injury) Zaragoza B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Parma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:33. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma	38	23	4	11	59:31	28	73
13	Parma	38	11	12	15	28:46	-18	45

Last Results with these Odds

Roma - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.85%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
03.05.26	Inter Milan - Parma	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Parma - Pisa	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Udinese - Parma	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Parma - Napoli	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWTT
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
04.05.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Bologna - Roma	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Roma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Roma - Pisa	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Inter Milan - Roma	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
29.10.25	Roma - Parma	2:1
16.02.25	Parma - Roma	0:1
22.12.24	Roma - Parma	5:0
14.03.21	Parma - Roma	2:0
22.11.20	Roma - Parma	3:0
08.07.20	Roma - Parma	2:1
Coppa Italia
16.01.20	Parma - Roma	0:2

Parma - Roma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide