Match Info

Date: 5 August 2020, Wednesday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.25
	2.9	3.7	2.3
	3	3.7	2.3
	2.95	3.6	2.2
	3.08	3.68	2.26
	2.9	3.7	2.25
	3.08	3.9	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.29)	3.72 ↑ (3.59)	2.28 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
32.1%

Draw
25.8%

Wolfsburg
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

19.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhtar Donetsk's form might have worsened.

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wolfsburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wolfsburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.7%	13.8%	34.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 87 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 45 - 51.7%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 30 - 34.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 41.2% – 62.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
29.07.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
19.07.20	Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
15.07.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0 ✺
12.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:4 ✺
04.07.20	Dynamo Kyiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWWW
- VfL Wolfsburg
Club Friendly
30.07.20	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.06.20	Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
20.06.20	Schalke 04 - Wolfsburg	1:4 ✺
16.06.20	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	3:0 ✺
13.06.20	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.03.20	Wolfsburg - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2

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