The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sheffield United 52.8%
Draw 24.6%
Derby County 22.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.6%
27.1%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
26.5%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield United's performance.
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Sheffield United - Derby County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 23rd in the Relegation - League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Utd won 4.
In recent outings, Sheff Utd has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Derby is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Sheff Utd has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Sheff Utd for this game.
Confirmed absences for Sheff Utd: Seriki F.
(Knee Injury)
Shackleton J.
(Health problems).
Confirmed absences for Derby: Agyemang P.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Cashin E.
(Inactive)
Clarke M.
(Calf Injury)
Forsyth C.
(Knee Injury)
Langas S.
(Injury)
Murkin D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Taylor C.
(Injury)
Widell Zetterstrom J.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Derby: Johnston M.
(Inactive).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Sheff Utd has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:14 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sheff Utd against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Sheffield Utd
11
4
3
4
15:14
1
15
23
Derby
11
1
3
7
9:20
-11
6
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Sheffield Utd: 2.33% Derby: 0.7%
Last Results with these Odds
Sheffield United - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.6%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
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