Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fleetwood Town		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.85
	4.1	3.7	1.87
	3.85	3.6	1.89
	4.07	3.77	1.91
	3.75	3.3	1.88	Watch
	3.98	3.72	1.85	Watch
	3.85	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.27)	3.62 ↓ (3.63)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
24%

Draw
26%

Queens Park Rangers
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

25.5%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

26.5%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Fleetwood Town - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). QPR will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Fleetwood have a series of guest games.

In this match QPR is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League One
01.01.23	Shrewsbury Town - Fleetwood Town	0:3 ✺
29.12.22	Barnsley - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.22	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
02.12.22	Ipswich Town - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLLWT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
02.01.23	Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Queens Park Rangers - Luton Town	0:3 ✺
26.12.22	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Preston North End - Queens Park Rangers	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Queens Park Rangers - Burnley	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWL

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