Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	V Sport Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Norway	V Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	V Sport Xtra


	Sheffield Wednesday		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6	4.2	1.47
	6.75	4.5	1.47
	6.2	4.4	1.47
	6.51	4.4	1.52
	6.5	3.9	1.44	Watch
	6.05	4.45	1.49	Watch
	6.2	4.4	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↓ (6.68)	4.32 ↓ (4.46)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
14.8%

Draw
21.7%

Newcastle United
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

20.8%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

20.9%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	9.4%	71.9%

Sheffield Wednesday - Newcastle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Sheff Wed will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Newcastle will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 56.3% – 87.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Sheff Wed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newcastle is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League One
02.01.23	Sheffield Wednesday - Cambridge United	5:0 ✺
29.12.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Fleetwood Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
10.12.22	Exeter City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTT
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
03.01.23	Arsenal - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
31.12.22	Newcastle United - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
26.12.22	Leicester City - Newcastle United	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
20.12.22	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Newcastle United - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.04.17	Sheffield Wednesday - Newcastle United	2:1
26.12.16	Newcastle United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1
English League Cup
23.09.15	Newcastle United - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1
Club Friendly
30.07.14	Sheffield Wednesday - Newcastle United	0:1

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