The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sheffield Wednesday 58.9%
Draw 25.3%
Port Vale 15.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
27.5%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
26.9%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sheffield Wednesday has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sheffield Wednesday's performance.
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Vale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sheffield Wednesday that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Port Vale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
2.4%
14.3%
Sheffield Wednesday - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sheffield Wednesday will win
(35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 9).
Sheff Wed has the most likely position - 1 (29.82%), has project points - 89, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a good chance of promoted (66%), has a chance of win league (30%).
Port Vale has the most likely position - 12 (8.16%), has project points - 61, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality24, importance39, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Sheff Wed is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recent matches Port Vale is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Sheff Wed is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Sheff Wed won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Sheff Wed won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.