The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 69.9%
Draw 19%
Port Vale 11.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.8%
19.8%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
18.9%
10.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
0%
14.3%
Plymouth Argyle - Port Vale Predictions
Users Predictions:
Plymouth Argyle will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hazard C. (G) 8. Edwards J. (C) 2. Ross M. 15. Mitchell A. 45. Harding W. 28. Curtis R. 19. Boateng M. 17. Watts C. 35. Dale O. 9. Tolaj L. 27. Pepple A.
46. Gauci J. (G) 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 50. Hernandez O. 18. Croasdale R. (C) 26. Shipley J. 3. Headley J. 19. Waine B. 21. Sherif M. 11. Archer E.
Substitutes
10. Amaechi X. 21. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 23. Ibrahim B. 18. Oseni O. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 29. Sorinola M. 4. Wiredu B.
13. Amos B. (G) 10. Brown D. 15. Gordon L. 33. Hall G. 35. Magloire T. 12. Walters R. 28. Ward G.
Coaches
Cleverley T.
Brady J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽, Tolaj L. (A),
5', Hazard C. 🟥,
8', Watts C. ↓, Ashby-Hammond L. ↑,
14', 1 - 1, Hall C. ⚽, Shipley J. (A),
16', Archer E. 🟨,
25', Hall C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hall C. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Pepple A. ⚽, Dale O. (A),
56', Shipley J. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
56', Croasdale R. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
64', Dale O. 🟨,
66', Curtis R. ↓, Sorinola M. ↑,
71', Archer E. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
73', Pepple A. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
80', Headley J. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
82', Wiredu B. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Plymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Plymouth is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Plymouth: MacKenzie J.
(Inactive)
Ralls J.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Gray A.
(Inactive)
Heneghan B.
(Injury)
Kyle John
(Inactive)
Ojo F.
(Inactive)
Stockley J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Plymouth: Finn T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ibrahim B.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
Watch
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Hazard C. (G) 
Edwards J. (C) 
Ross M. 
Harding W. 
Curtis R. 
Watts C. 
Tolaj L. 
Pepple A. 
Hernandez O. 
Waine B. 
Sherif M. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Gordon L. 
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