Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 15

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday

Location: IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka)

Referee: Ueda M. (Jpn)


	Shimizu S-Pulse		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.43	4.1	5.75
	1.47	4.33	6	Watch
	1.48	4.68	6.4
	1.49	4.67	6.34
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.45	4.35	6.22	Watch
	1.45	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.39 ↑ (4.28)	6.26 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimizu S-Pulse
64%

Draw
21.2%

Kagoshima United
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shimizu S Pulse - Kagoshima United Predictions

Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Gonda S. (G) 28. Yoshida Y. 3. Takahashi Y. 66. Sumiyoshi J. 14. Yamahara R. 11. Lucas Braga 13. Miyamoto K. 71. Nakamura R. 21. Yajima S. 23. Kitagawa K. 10. Carlinhos	1. Izumori R. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 5. Ibayashi A. 23. Okamoto S. 3. Toyama R. 8. Fujimura K. 7. Chibu K. 11. Goryo J. 21. Tanaka W. 18. Fukuda M. 10. Fujimoto N.
Substitutes
70. Hara T. 5. Kitazume K. 19. Matsuzaki K. 44. Motoki N. 16. Nishizawa K. 1. Oki Y. (G) 99. Tanque D.	92. Nduka C. 65. Nishido H. 14. Nodake H. 31. Ono C. (G) 34. Suzuki S. 28. Tone I. 27. Yamaguchi T.
Coaches
Akiba T.	Oshima Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Nakamura R. ⚽, Yajima S. (A),
43', 2 - 0, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Watanabe E. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
46', Tanaka W. ↓, Suzuki S. ↑,
54', Chibu K. 🟨,
58', Goryo J. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
63', Chibu K. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
66', Yajima S. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Sumiyoshi J. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
69', Fujimoto N. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
72', Carlinhos ↓, Motoki N. ↑,
72', Lucas Braga ↓, Matsuzaki K. ↑,
72', Kitagawa K. ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
79', Yamahara R. ↓, Kitazume K. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Motoki N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 17).

Shimizu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kagoshima United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kagoshima United have a series of home games.

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shimizu to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
06.05.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:3 ✺
03.05.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
28.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
24.04.24	Kataller Toyama - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
20.04.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vegalta Sendai	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
06.05.24	Kagoshima United - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL

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