The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 41.7%
Draw 29.1%
Albirex Niigata 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
28.9%
28.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
30.5%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Sanada K. (G) 37. Suzuki Y. 5. Matsumoto H. 3. Hakamata Y. 2. Matsumura S. 7. Onose K. 16. Arthur Feitoza (C) 26. Fukazawa Y. 17. Tamura S. 34. Yamada H. 19. Nishino T.
46. Baumann N. (G) 30. Sekiguchi M. 2. Geria J. 5. Fitzgerald M. (C) 3. Kato T. 8. Shirai E. 7. Onishi Y. 16. Osawa T. 55. Moraes M. 14. Konagaya C. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Substitutes
9. Gonzalez F. 38. Kozuki S. 21. Nagai T. (G) 25. Okuno H. 8. Ono K. 13. Shimoguchi W. 4. Tachi K. 6. Takeda S. 30. Yamaguchi G.
22. Arai T. 15. Hayakawa F. 9. Iury Castilho 6. Kasai K. 32. Kuwayama K. 70. Maeda R. 38. Mori K. 26. Sato M. 71. Uchiyama S. (G)
Coaches
Nagasawa T.
Funakoshi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Fukazawa Y. 🟨,
23', Onishi Y. 🟨,
25', Geria J. 🟨,
26', Moraes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Fukazawa Y. ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Wakatsuki Y. ⚽,
52', Tamura S. ↓, Kozuki S. ↑,
62', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
62', Konagaya C. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
68', Yamada H. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
68', Nishino T. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
74', Onishi Y. 🟨,
75', Moraes M. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
76', Osawa T. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
86', Suzuki Y. ↓, Yamaguchi G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Okuno H. ⚽,
90+3', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - J2 League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
Shonan Bellmare has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Albirex Niigata shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Shonan Bellmare may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has faced a series of away games on the road.
Shonan Bellmare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Shonan Bellmare has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:24 (averaging 1.5:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Shonan Bellmare against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.8:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Albirex Niigata
10
6
2
2
14:14
0
20
6
Shonan Bellmare
10
4
5
1
11:9
2
17
Last Results with these Odds
Albirex Niigata - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.46%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Sanada K. (G) 
Arthur Feitoza (C) 
Baumann N. (G) 
Geria J. 
Gonzalez F. 
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