Match Info

Super League - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de Tourbillon (Sion)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Sion		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.82	Watch
	2.20	3.60	2.90
	2.3	3.45	2.72
	2.39	3.57	3.06
	2.39	3.55	2.83	Watch
	2.3	3.45	3
	2.28	3.57	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.21)	3.55 ↑ (3.31)	2.87 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sion
40.8%

Draw
26.5%

Lugano
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

28.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sion than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Sion - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sion will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Racioppi A. (G) 14. Lavanchy N. 5. Sow N. 17. Kronig J. 6. Marquinhos Cipriano 88. Kabacalman A. (C) 29. Berdayes T. 37. Sylla F. 8. Baltazar 77. Rrudhani D. 13. Boteli W.	16. von Ballmoos D. (C) 6. Papadopoulos A. 17. Mai L. 18. Bichsel J. 46. Zanotti M. 8. Grgic A. 14. Kendouci A. 24. Pihlstrom E. 21. Cimignani Y. 30. Moncada D. 27. Dos Santos D.
Substitutes
21. Chipperfield L. 7. Chouaref I. 20. Hefti N. 38. Kessler R. 10. Kololli B. 9. Lukembila J. 33. Nivokazi R. 12. Ruberto F. (G) 19. Surdez F.	23. Ajdin G. 25. Bislimi U. 44. Carbone 22. Castro Espinosa B. D. 3. Delcroix H. 28. Gebhardt F. (G) 2. Karimov B. 4. Kelvin D. 11. Steffen R.
Coaches
Tholot D.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Moncada D. ⚽, Grgic A. (A),
28', Zanotti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Moncada D. ↓, Steffen R. ↑,
46', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bislimi U. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Boteli W. ⚽, Baltazar (A),
68', Sylla F. ↓, Lukembila J. ↑,
69', Rrudhani D. ↓, Nivokazi R. ↑,
75', Pihlstrom E. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
75', Zanotti M. ↓, Karimov B. ↑,
77', Boteli W. ↓, Chipperfield L. ↑,
77', Berdayes T. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
78', Mai L. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Kendouci A. (A),
87', Bislimi U. 🟨,
90+1', Karimov B. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sion won 2.

Sion has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lugano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sion will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sion: Hajrizi K. (Surgery)

There will not play in Lugano: Alioski E. (Injury) Cassano C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sion won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sion won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.3:1.8).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 42.36% Sion: 11.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	9	8	1	0	27:7	20	25
3	Sion	9	6	1	2	23:14	9	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sion
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Ajax - Sion	5:3 ✺
20.08.26	Sion - Ajax	2:4 ✺
13.08.26	Sion - Noah Yerevan	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	Sion - Vaduz	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Noah Yerevan - Sion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWT
- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Lugano - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	NSÍ Runavík - Lugano	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
09.08.26	Lugano - Zürich	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Lugano - NSÍ Runavík	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
14.05.26	Sion - Lugano	2:2
04.03.26	Lugano - Sion	2:1
29.11.25	Lugano - Sion	1:1
03.08.25	Sion - Lugano	4:0
09.03.25	Sion - Lugano	2:1
01.02.25	Lugano - Sion	3:2
22.09.24	Sion - Lugano	0:0

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