Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Slavia Prague		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	2.05
	3.6	3.7	2
	3.55	3.65	2.02
	3.35	3.55	2.04
	3.55	3.65	2.09
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.72	3.8	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (3.6)	3.64 ↓ (3.81)	2.05 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
27.1%

Draw
26.3%

Bayer Leverkusen
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

24.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

19.4%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Prague that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.6%	6.5%	82.9%

Slavia Prague - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (102 of 123 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.28% – 89.58%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Slavia Prague has a chance of round of 32 (32%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bayer has a good chance of round of 32 (91%), has a good chance of round of 16 (61%), has a chance of qtrs (35%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Recent matches Slavia Prague is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bayer is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Slavia Prague could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bayer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Slavia Prague	3:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
04.10.20	Baník Ostrava - Slavia Prague	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.20	Midtjylland - Slavia Prague	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
26.09.20	Slavia Prague - Slovácko	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.09.20	Slavia Prague - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWT
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
26.10.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Bayer Leverkusen - Nice	6:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.20	Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWTT

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