Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 March 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fortuna Arena (Prague) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Germany	18:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	18:45	RTL3
Italy	18:45	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	18:45	ESPN
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Slavia Prague		Milan

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.6	2.3
	2.87	3.5	2.35
	3.1	3.6	2.3	Watch
	3	3.66	2.36
	2.97	3.66	2.36
	2.88	3.6	2.3
	3	3.74	2.41
	2.95	3.65	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.79)	3.63 ↓ (4)	2.34 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Slavia Prague
32.5%

Draw
26.5%

Milan
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.2%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

22.7%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Slavia Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Slavia Prague's performance.

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Prague than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Prague that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	20.8%	60.4%

Slavia Prague - Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Slavia Prague will win (votes: 9 - 18.8%). Milan will win (votes: 29 - 60.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 46.6% – 74.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Stanek J. (G) 27. Vlcek T. 5. Ogbu I. 4. Zima D. 33. Zmrzly O. 3. Holes T. (C) 19. Dorley O. 21. Doudera D. 17. Provod L. 6. Wallem C. 13. Chytil M.	16. Maignan M. (G) 2. Calabria D. (C) 46. Gabbia M. 23. Tomori F. 19. Hernandez T. 7. Adli Y. 80. Musah Y. 11. Pulisic C. 8. Loftus-Cheek R. 10. Leao R. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
35. Jurasek M. 15. Jurecka V. 43. Konecny M. 28. Mandous A. (G) 45. Pech Dom. 26. Schranz I. 23. Sevcik P. 31. Sirotnik J. (G) 9. Tijani M. 29. Tomic M. 14. van Buren M. 10. Zafeiris C.	4. Bennacer I. 21. Chukwueze S. 15. Jovic L. 20. Kalulu P. 24. Kjaer S. 69. Nava L. (G) 17. Okafor N. 14. Reijnders T. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 38. Terracciano F. 28. Thiaw M.
Coaches
Trpisovsky J.	Pioli S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-4.

Recent matches Slavia Prague is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Milan will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Slavia Prague: Diouf M. (Red Card) Masopust L. (Health problems) Pech Da. (Knee Injury) Sinyan S. (Health problems)

There will not play in Milan: Florenzi A. (Yellow Cards) Pobega T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Slavia Prague: Sevcik P. (Health problems) Zafeiris C. (Ankle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Slavia Prague won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SK Slavia Prague
Czech 1 Liga
10.03.24	Slavia Prague - Teplice	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Milan - Slavia Prague	4:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
03.03.24	Sparta Prague - Slavia Prague	0:0 ✺
Czech Cup
28.02.24	Slavia Prague - Sparta Prague	2:3 ET ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.02.24	Slavia Prague - Pardubice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTLW
- AC Milan
Italian Serie A
10.03.24	Milan - Empoli	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Milan - Slavia Prague	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.03.24	Lazio - Milan	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Milan - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.02.24	Rennes - Milan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.03.24	Milan - Slavia Prague	4:2

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