Match Info

Date: 24 April 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sousa		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.45	3	1.97
	3.64	3.06	1.96
	3.5	3.28	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (2.59)	3.11 ↑ (2.94)	2.01 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sousa
26.1%

Draw
29%

Retrô Brasil
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.8%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sousa's form might have worsened.

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Retrô Brasil's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Recent matches Sousa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Retrô in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Retrô could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sousa have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sousa
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
20.04.22	Sousa - Campinense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
17.04.22	América RN - Sousa	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
10.04.22	Sousa - Treze	1:0 ET ✺
06.04.22	Sousa - Auto Esporte	4:0 ✺
03.04.22	Sousa - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
21.04.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
13.04.22	Retrô Brasil - Salgueiro	1:0 ✺
16.03.22	Salgueiro - Retrô Brasil	2:2 ✺
09.03.22	Retrô Brasil - Íbis	1:0 ✺
03.03.22	Retrô Brasil - Afogados da Ingazeira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWW

Sousa - Retrô Brasil

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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