Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	South Melbourne		Wellington Phoenix

	1	X	2
	1.9	4	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.1
	1.95	3.75	3.3	Watch
	1.93	4.09	3.43
	1.98	3.9	3.28	Watch
	1.91	3.75	3.1
	1.92	3.85	3.35	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (4.17)	3.85 ↓ (4.1)	3.3 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
47.9%

Draw
24%

Wellington Phoenix
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

22.2%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.

Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	25%	31.2%

South Melbourne - Wellington Phoenix Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Wellington will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for South Melbourne: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diaz Lopez J. (G) 5. Marshall J. 4. Jankovic M. 6. Inglese L. 15. Spiteri Z. 19. Halfpenny C. 21. Archibald R. 8. Barcia M. 3. Lampard J. 9. Sawyer H. 16. Peios E.	30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 27. Sheridan M. 4. Wootton S. (C) 15. Hughes I. 24. van Hattum O. 12. Al-Taay M. 5. Conchie F. 18. Kelly-Heald L. 41. Walker N. 23. Supyk L. 17. Sloane-Rodrigues G.
Substitutes
24. Bonada N. 7. Brennan A. 18. Francou J. 30. Hilson M. 20. Lejeune W. (G) 27. Painter-Andrews J. 80. Tsitsinaris G.	7. Barbarouses K. 35. Boon D. (G) 46. Candy L. 33. Gardiner D. 42. Gillion F. 36. Loke T. 21. Rojas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sawyer H. ⚽, Spiteri Z. (A),
14', Al-Taay M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spiteri Z. ↓, Painter-Andrews J. ↑,
62', Sawyer H. ↓, Brennan A. ↑,
62', Archibald R. ↓, Bonada N. ↑,
67', Supyk L. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
67', Sloane-Rodrigues G. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
67', Conchie F. ↓, Gillion F. ↑,
77', van Hattum O. ↓, Loke T. ↑,
77', Sheridan M. ↓, Candy L. ↑,
89', Barcia M. ↓, Hilson M. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches South Melbourne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wellington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently South Melbourne have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
26.07.24	South Melbourne - Port Melbourne Sharks	4:0 ✺
19.07.24	South Melbourne - Dandenong City	1:2 ✺
12.07.24	Green Gully - South Melbourne	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder	1:0 ✺
30.06.24	South Melbourne - Oakleigh Cannons	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL
- Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League
18.05.24	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ET ✺
12.05.24	Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix	0:0 ✺
27.04.24	Wellington Phoenix - Macarthur FC	3:0 ✺
19.04.24	Newcastle Jets - Wellington Phoenix	1:1 ✺
12.04.24	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWTW

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