Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 19

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Southampton		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.8	5
	1.65	4	5
	1.68	3.94	4.91	Watch
	1.7	4.05	5.09
	1.7	4.05	5.09
	1.6	3.8	5
	1.67	3.98	4.95	Watch
	1.64	4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.95 ↓ (3.97)	5.03 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
57.1%

Draw
24%

Cardiff City
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

23.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

23.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Southampton - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: Southampton will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 21. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 3. Manning R. 24. Charles S. 22. Alcaraz C. 4. Downes F. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 17. Armstrong S. 10. Adams C.	13. Runarsson R. A. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 5. McGuinness M. 17. Collins J. 14. Bowler J. 6. Wintle R. (C) 47. Robinson C. 23. Siopis M. 22. Meite Y. 16. Grant K.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 7. Aribo J. 14. Bree J. 33. Dibling T. 23. Edozie S. 26. Fraser R. 6. Holgate M. 13. Lumley J. (G) 18. Mara S.	18. Adams E. 21. Alnwick J. (G) 27. Colwill R. 9. Etete K. 24. Panzo J. 8. Ralls J. 2. Romeo M. 32. Tanner O. 12. Ugbo I.
Coaches
Martin R.	Bulut E.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

S`hampton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cardiff is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

S`hampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match S`hampton is a favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Larios J. (Muscle Injury) Stephens J. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: O'Dowda C. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's S`hampton to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
29.11.23	Southampton - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Huddersfield Town - Southampton	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Millwall - Southampton	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Southampton - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
28.11.23	Cardiff City - West Bromwich Albion	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Preston North End - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Cardiff City - Norwich City	2:3 ✺
04.11.23	Stoke City - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
28.10.23	Cardiff City - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.21	Cardiff City - Southampton	0:4
English Premier League
09.02.19	Southampton - Cardiff City	1:2
08.12.18	Cardiff City - Southampton	1:0
12.04.14	Southampton - Cardiff City	0:1
26.12.13	Cardiff City - Southampton	0:3
English League Championship
31.01.12	Southampton - Cardiff City	N/A

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