Match Info

Championship - Round 19

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka


	Southampton		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.95	Watch
	2.21	3.67	3.04	Watch
	2.29	3.73	3.06
	2.34	3.61	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.19	3.72	3.26	Watch
	2.25	3.66	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	3.63 ↑ (3.39)	3.01 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Southampton
42.3%

Draw
26.2%

Birmingham City
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

26.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	23.5%	11.8%

Southampton - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 15. Wood N. 5. Stephens J. (C) 18. Fellows T. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A.	25. Beadle J. (G) 24. Iwata T. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Doyle T. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 10. Gray D. 33. Ducksch M.
Substitutes
19. Archer C. 7. Aribo J. 48. Bragg C. 12. Edwards R. 26. Fraser R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 17. Quarshie J. 46. Robinson J. 28. Romeu O.	21. Allsop R. (G) 14. Anderson K. 41. Cashin E. 17. Dykes L. 9. Furuhashi K. 30. Koumas L. 12. Leonard M. 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 6. Robinson J.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Azaz F. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Armstrong A. ⚽, Azaz F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Iwata T. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Gray D. ⚽, Cochrane A. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽,
59', Cochrane A. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
63', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
63', Armstrong A. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
80', Jander C. ↓, Romeu O. ↑,
80', Azaz F. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
80', Roberts P. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
86', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
86', Gray D. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
87', Fellows T. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
90+2', Aribo J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Muscle Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Downs D. (Inactive) Scienza L. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
29.11.25	Millwall - Southampton	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Southampton - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	1:5 ✺
08.11.25	Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
05.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWW
- Birmingham City
English League Championship
01.12.25	Birmingham City - Watford	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	West Bromwich Albion - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Birmingham City - Norwich City	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Middlesbrough - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Birmingham City - Millwall	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.03.24	Birmingham City - Southampton	3:4
28.10.23	Southampton - Birmingham City	3:1
04.02.12	Birmingham City - Southampton	0:0

Upcoming Matches