Match Info

Championship - Round 22

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Southampton		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.85	Watch
	2.28	3.95	2.77	Watch
	2.52	3.91	2.61
	2.28	3.93	2.78	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.8
	2.3	3.84	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.8	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.26)	3.83 ↓ (3.87)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
41.2%

Draw
24.8%

Coventry City
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

23.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	16.7%	55.6%

Southampton - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Coventry will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Coventry (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Coventry (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bazunu G. (G) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 34. Welington 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 3. Manning R. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C)	19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 26. Woolfenden L. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 3. Dasilva J. 29. Torp V. 6. Grimes M. (C) 28. Eccles J. 5. Rudoni J. 10. Mason-Clark E. 11. Wright H.
Substitutes
19. Archer C. 7. Aribo J. 48. Bragg C. 18. Fellows T. 26. Fraser R. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 46. Robinson J. 28. Romeu O. 5. Stephens J.	8. Allen J. 54. Andrews K. 21. Bidwell J. 33. Brau M. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 41. Perry C. 50. Shepherd G. 9. Simms E. 13. Wilson B. (G)
Coaches
Eckert T.	Lampard F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Grimes M. 🟨,
36', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Mason-Clark E. ⚽, Torp V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Dasilva J. 🟥,
50', Eccles J. ↓, Bidwell J. ↑,
56', 1 - 1, Wood N. ⚽, Armstrong A. (A),
59', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Brau M. ↑,
63', Welington ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
76', Jander C. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
81', van Ewijk M. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
82', Torp V. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
82', Wright H. ↓, Simms E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

S`hampton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Coventry is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Downs D. (Inactive) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Thomas-Asante B. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Fellows T. (Health problems)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
13.12.25	Norwich City - Southampton	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Southampton - West Bromwich Albion	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Southampton - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Millwall - Southampton	3:2 ✺
25.11.25	Southampton - Leicester City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLW
- Coventry City
English League Championship
13.12.25	Coventry City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
09.12.25	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Ipswich Town - Coventry City	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.04.24	Southampton - Coventry City	2:1
13.12.23	Coventry City - Southampton	1:1
English FA Cup
05.02.22	Southampton - Coventry City	2:1 ET
English League Championship
28.04.12	Southampton - Coventry City	4:0

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