Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Southampton		Everton

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.63
	2.65	3.2	2.7
	2.72	3.4	2.72	Watch
	2.76	3.4	2.76
	2.67	3.53	2.69	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.62
	2.73	3.37	2.73	Watch
	2.72	3.4	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.51)	3.37 ↓ (3.57)	2.7 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NBC Universo

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
35.7%

Draw
28.6%

Everton
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.2%	45.8%	44.1%

Southampton - Everton Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). Everton will win (votes: 26 - 47.3%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 43.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 34.1% – 60.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Ramsdale A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 10. Lallana A. 4. Downes F. 18. Fernandes M. 9. Armstrong A. 19. Archer C.	1. Pickford J. (G) 18. Young A. 5. Keane M. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 19. Mykolenko V. 8. Mangala O. 27. Gueye I. 29. Lindstrom J. 7. McNeil D. 10. Ndiaye I. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 7. Aribo J. 14. Bree J. 17. Brereton Diaz B. 33. Dibling T. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 16. Sugawara Y. 26. Ugochukwu L.	45. Armstrong H. 31. Begovic A. (G) 14. Beto 32. Branthwaite J. 23. Coleman S. 11. Harrison J. 15. O'Brien J. 2. Patterson N. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Martin R.	Dyche S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Tarkowski J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lallana A. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
56', Keane M. 🟨,
60', Manning R. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
62', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Beto ↑,
62', Ndiaye I. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
77', Bednarek J. 🟨,
79', Stephens J. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
83', Young A. 🟨,
85', 1 - 0, Armstrong A. ⚽, Sugawara Y. (A),
88', Lindstrom J. ↓, Branthwaite J. ↑,
90+3', Archer C. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
90+4', Fernandes M. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
90+8', Onuachu P. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 3.

S`hampton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Everton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

S`hampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Smallbone W. (Thigh Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Broja A. (Calf Injury) Chermiti (Ankle Injury) Garner J. (Lower Back Injury) Iroegbunam T. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Downes F. (Knock)

There are questionable in Everton: McNeil D. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches S`hampton won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:25 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams S`hampton won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:9 (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Everton - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 34.72%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Cup
29.10.24	Southampton - Stoke City	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.24	Manchester City - Southampton	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Southampton - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Arsenal - Southampton	3:1 ✺
30.09.24	Bournemouth - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Everton
English Premier League
26.10.24	Everton - Fulham	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Ipswich Town - Everton	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Everton - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Leicester City - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
17.09.24	Everton - Southampton	1:2 penalties
English Premier League
14.01.23	Everton - Southampton	1:2
01.10.22	Southampton - Everton	1:2
19.02.22	Southampton - Everton	2:0
14.08.21	Everton - Southampton	3:1
01.03.21	Everton - Southampton	1:0
25.10.20	Southampton - Everton	2:0

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