Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 6

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Fiji	Sky Pacific
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Premier League
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro SuperSport 3, SKY NET Sports 6, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Sport 24 At Sea, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Bournemouth		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.75
	1.55	4.5	5.5
	1.55	4.65	6
	1.55	4.52	6.02
	1.55	4.51	6.12	Watch
	1.53	4.4	6
	1.58	4.34	5.94	Watch
	1.58	4.55	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.65)	4.46 ↑ (4.25)	5.89 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
62%

Draw
21.6%

Southampton
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.7%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.1%	16.4%	14.5%

Bournemouth - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Bournemouth will win (votes: 37 - 69.8%). S`hampton will win (votes: 8 - 15.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 57.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 5. Senesi M. 3. Kerkez M. 4. Cook L. 10. Christie R. 24. Semenyo A. 11. Ouattara Da. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 16. Sugawara Y. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 21. Taylor C. 4. Downes F. (C) 26. Ugochukwu L. 22. Cornet M. 18. Fernandes M. 24. Fraser R. 33. Dibling T.
Substitutes
37. Aarons M. 22. Araujo J. 7. Brooks D. 2. Huijsen D. 19. Kluivert J. 8. Scott A. 17. Sinisterra L. 42. Travers M. (G) 26. Unal E.	19. Archer C. 7. Aribo J. 9. Armstrong A. 17. Brereton Diaz B. 10. Lallana A. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 11. Stewart R. 2. Walker-Peters K.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Evanilson ⚽, Tavernier M. (A),
27', Fernandes M. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Ouattara Da. ⚽, Cook L. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Semenyo A. ⚽, Cook L. (A),
45+1', Tavernier M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
46', Fraser R. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
46', Cornet M. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,
50', Kerkez M. 🟨,
51', 3 - 1, Harwood-Bellis T. ⚽,
52', Sugawara Y. 🟨,
55', Downes F. 🟨,
55', Dibling T. 🟨,
61', Ouattara Da. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
70', Fernandes M. ↓, Lallana A. ↑,
76', Tavernier M. ↓, Scott A. ↑,
76', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
76', Dibling T. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
89', Semenyo A. ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
90+3', Lallana A. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 2.

Bournemouth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches S`hampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bournemouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bournemouth is a favorite.

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Back Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sulemana K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Smallbone W. (Thigh Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
21.09.24	Liverpool - Bournemouth	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Bournemouth - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Everton - Bournemouth	2:3 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	West Ham United - Bournemouth	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.08.24	Bournemouth - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLT
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
21.09.24	Southampton - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
17.09.24	Everton - Southampton	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
14.09.24	Southampton - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Brentford - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Cardiff City - Southampton	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.23	Southampton - Bournemouth	2:3
English Premier League
27.04.23	Southampton - Bournemouth	0:1
19.10.22	Bournemouth - Southampton	0:1
English FA Cup
20.03.21	Bournemouth - Southampton	0:3
English Premier League
19.07.20	Bournemouth - Southampton	0:2
20.09.19	Southampton - Bournemouth	1:3
27.04.19	Southampton - Bournemouth	3:3

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