Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: epet ARENA (Prague) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Sparta Prague		Aris

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6.5
	1.55	4.55	6.1	Watch
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.54	4.6	6.03
	1.44	4	5.5
	1.52	4.5	5.85
	1.53	4.5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)	4.38 ↑ (4.05)	6.05 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
62.6%

Draw
21.7%

Aris
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	3.4%	1.1%

Sparta Prague - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (84 of 88 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.1% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 25. Sorensen A. 37. Krejci L. (C) 2. Preciado A. 20. Laci Q. 6. Kairinen K. 30. Zeleny J. 9. Kuchta J. 7. Olatunji V. 22. Haraslin L.	1. Vana Alves (C) 6. Boakye E. 31. Brorsson F. 72. Urosevic S. 3. Caju 37. Szoke J. 23. Struski K. 21. Mayambela M. 9. Kokorin A. 7. Bengtsson L. 14. Gomis Y.
Substitutes
14. Birmancevic V. 5. Gomez J. 10. Karabec A. 19. Mejdr J. 27. Panak F. 8. Pavelka D. 21. Pesek J. 32. Rynes M. 18. Sadilek L. 39. Sejk V. 24. Vorel V. (G) 26. Vydra P.	80. Babicka S. 8. Brown M. 78. Chrysostomou K. (G) 12. Dimitriou A. 66. Montnor J. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 10. Spoljaric M. 11. Stepinski M. 20. Yago S.
Coaches
Priske B.	Shpilevski A.

Preview

Sparta Prague is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aris is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sparta Prague is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Aris: Yago S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Mejdr J. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sparta Prague to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
17.09.23	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	5:0 ✺
03.09.23	Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Sparta Prague - Dinamo Zagreb	4:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.08.23	Sparta Prague - Karviná	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Dinamo Zagreb - Sparta Prague	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
17.09.23	PAOK - Aris	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Aris - Asteras Tripolis	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Aris - Slovan Bratislava	6:2 ✺
Greek Super League
27.08.23	Lamia - Aris	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	Slovan Bratislava - Aris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
01.11.26	Bohemians 1905 - Sparta Prague	✺
Czech Cup
28.10.26	Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava	✺
- Aris Thessaloniki
Greek Super League
01.11.26	Levadiakos - Aris	✺
Greek Cup
28.10.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	✺

Sparta Prague - Aris