Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: epet ARENA (Prague) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	14:45	Fox Sports
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	18:45	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:45	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	18:45	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	18:45	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:45	CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	21:45	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	17:45	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	23:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	17:45	Virgin Media Two
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Kosovo	18:45	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	11:45	Cinemax, HBO Max, MAX
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:45	Voyo
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	01:45	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	22:45	Varzish Sport
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Inter
Vietnam	00:45	TV 360
International	17:45	Disney+, JioTV app


	Sparta Prague		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.65
	5.5	3.9	1.62
	5.55	4	1.65
	5.66	4.05	1.68
	5.63	3.89	1.67
	5.5	3.9	1.65
	5.53	3.98	1.7
	5.55	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↓ (5.56)	3.95 ↓ (4.1)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
17.4%

Draw
24.4%

Atlético Madrid
58.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

23.4%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

22.9%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	12.2%	82.2%

Sparta Prague - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (72 of 84 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.23% – 93.19%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 27. Panak F. (C) 5. Ross M. 28. Wiesner T. 20. Laci Q. 6. Kairinen K. 32. Rynes M. 29. Krasniqi E. 10. Rrahmani A. 22. Haraslin L.	13. Oblak J. (C) 22. Simeone G. 2. Gimenez J. M. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 14. Llorente M. 5. de Paul R. 4. Gallagher C. 8. Barrios P. 9. Sorloth A. 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
13. Danek K. 7. Olatunji V. 8. Pavelka D. 54. Penxa L. 21. Pesek J. 18. Sadilek L. 4. Solbakken M. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 11. Tuci I. 61. Vecerka D. 24. Vorel V. (G)	3. Azpilicueta C. 10. Correa A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 7. Griezmann A. 6. Koke 12. Lino S. 23. Mandava R. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 20. Witsel A.
Coaches
Friis L.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽,
27', Haraslin L. ↓, Pesek J. ↑,
43', 0 - 2, Llorente M. ⚽, Gallagher C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 4)
58', Sorloth A. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
59', 0 - 3, Alvarez J. ⚽, Simeone G. (A),
60', Rrahmani A. ↓, Olatunji V. ↑,
61', Krasniqi E. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
65', Pesek J. 🟨,
67', Barrios P. 🟨,
70', 0 - 4, Griezmann A. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
78', Barrios P. ↓, Koke ↑,
78', de Paul R. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
79', Alvarez J. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
79', Simeone G. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
79', Laci Q. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
79', Pesek J. ↓, Pavelka D. ↑,
85', 0 - 5, Correa A. ⚽, Lino S. (A),
89', 0 - 6, Correa A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Sparta Prague is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Sparta Prague have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Birmancevic V. (Groin Injury) Cobbaut E. (Hamstring Injury) Garcia I. (Knee Injury) Preciado A. (Knee Injury) Sorensen A. (Hamstring Injury) Zeleny J. (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Lemar T. (Injury) Molina N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Le Normand R. (Head Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
23.11.24	Sparta Prague - Teplice	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Mladá Boleslav - Sparta Prague	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Sparta Prague - Brest	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
02.11.24	Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:3 ✺
Czech Cup
30.10.24	Sparta Prague - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Mallorca - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.11.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.11.24	Atlético Madrid - Las Palmas	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Vic - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

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