Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	CANAL+ Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 7
Portugal	DAZN 6
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Sparta Prague		Brest

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	3
	2.45	3.2	2.95
	2.52	3.3	2.98	Watch
	2.5	3.31	3.09
	2.49	3.28	3.05	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3
	2.52	3.33	3.09
	2.52	3.3	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)	3.28 ↓ (3.41)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
38.7%

Draw
29.4%

Brest
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

28%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	23.1%	34.6%

Sparta Prague - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Sparta Prague will win (votes: 21 - 42%). Brest will win (votes: 18 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 22%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 28.3% – 55.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vindahl P. (G) 41. Vitik M. 27. Panak F. (C) 33. Cobbaut E. 28. Wiesner T. 20. Laci Q. 6. Kairinen K. 32. Rynes M. 21. Pesek J. 7. Olatunji V. 10. Rrahmani A.	40. Bizot M. (G) 7. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 22. Haidara M. 20. Lees-Melou P. 45. Camara M. 9. Doumbia K. 6. Fernandes E. 19. Ajorque L. 14. Balde M.
Substitutes
13. Danek K. 8. Pavelka D. 54. Penxa L. 5. Ross M. 38. Rus D. 18. Sadilek L. 4. Solbakken M. 2. Suchomel M. 44. Surovcik J. (G) 11. Tuci I. 24. Vorel V. (G)	23. Amavi J. 11. Camblan A. 30. Coudert G. (G) 10. Del Castillo R. 21. Faivre R. 50. Jauny N. (G) 25. Le Cardinal J. 8. Magnetti H. 28. Martin J. 3. Ndiaye A. 26. Pereira Lage M. 34. Salah I.
Coaches
Friis L.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Ajorque L. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Fernandes E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Rrahmani A. ↓, Danek K. ↑,
69', Rynes M. 🟨,
74', Balde M. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
78', Pesek J. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Kairinen K. (Own goal),
81', Fernandes E. ↓, Magnetti H. ↑,
81', Camara M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
81', Doumbia K. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
85', Laci Q. ↓, Suchomel M. ↑,
85', Rynes M. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
85', Kairinen K. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Olatunji V. ⚽, Sadilek L. (A),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sparta Prague could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Brest have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Birmancevic V. (Groin Injury) Garcia I. (Knee Injury) Haraslin L. (Injury) Zeleny J. (Injury)

There will not play in Brest: Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sima A. (Convalescence)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Krasniqi E. (Injury) Preciado A. (Health problems) Sorensen A. (Illness)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
Czech 1 Liga
02.11.24	Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:3 ✺
Czech Cup
30.10.24	Sparta Prague - Zbrojovka Brno	4:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.10.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Manchester City - Sparta Prague	5:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.24	Sparta Prague - Slovan Liberec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
02.11.24	Brest - Nice	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Reims - Brest	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.10.24	Brest - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
19.10.24	Brest - Rennes	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Brest - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTTW

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