Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Telstar		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	5	5.25	1.53	Watch
	5.75	5.25	1.46
	5.4	4.9	1.5
	5.3	5.25	1.53
	5.06	5.14	1.51	Watch
	4.8	4.6	1.5
	5.24	5.03	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↓ (7)	5.06 ↓ (5.25)	1.51 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
18.2%

Draw
18.8%

PSV Eindhoven
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.1%

17.4%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

16.7%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telstar's performance.

PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telstar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	5.3%	84.2%

Telstar - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: PSV Eindhoven will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. (C) 3. Alders G. 8. Owusu T. 23. Hatenboer C. 27. Brouwer P. 2. Hardeveld J. 37. van Duijn S. 7. Hetli S.	32. Kovar M. (G) 25. Sildillia K. 6. Flamingo R. 4. Obispo A. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 22. Schouten J. (C) 20. Til G. 34. Saibari I. 27. Man D. 9. Pepi R. 5. Perisic I.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 15. Koubini R. 29. Malone D. 11. Noslin T. 17. Olfers Y. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 9. Seedorf J. 30. Tejan K.	19. Bajraktarevic E. 21. Boadu M. 11. Driouech C. 31. Fernandez N. 3. Gasiorowski Y. 17. Mauro Junior 1. Olij N. (G) 24. Schiks N. (G) 23. Veerman J. 10. Wanner P.
Coaches
Correia A.	Bosz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', Salah-Eddine A. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 0, Brouwer P. ⚽, van Duijn S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Til G. ↓, Mauro Junior ↑,
46', Man D. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
46', Alders G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Sildillia K. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
53', Koswal D. 🟨,
66', Pepi R. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, van Duijn S. ⚽, Brouwer P. (A),
73', Hetli S. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
73', Koswal D. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Tejan K. ⚽,
78', Schouten J. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
78', Perisic I. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
82', Saibari I. 🟨,
84', Owusu T. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
88', Brouwer P. ↓, Oudsten R. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Telstar has had a series of away games.

In this match, PSV is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A. (Muscle Injury) Offerhaus G. (Yellow Cards) Ogidi Nwankwo N. (Inactive)

There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Injury) Mauro Junior (Knee Injury) Olij N. (Groin Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Til G. (Muscle Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Telstar: Koswal D. (Injury) Rossen N. (Inactive) Thorisson N. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	PSV	8	6	1	1	26:10	16	19
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:4 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.02.26	Telstar - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Feyenoord - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLWL
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.03.26	NEC Nijmegen - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
28.02.26	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	PSV Eindhoven - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.25	PSV Eindhoven - Telstar	0:2
Dutch KNVB Beker
20.01.22	PSV Eindhoven - Telstar	2:1
25.09.13	PSV Eindhoven - Telstar	4:1

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