Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Sporting de Gijón		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4	Watch
	2.31	3.06	3.8
	2.23	3.07	3.59	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.3
	2.22	3.13	3.53	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
42.3%

Draw
31.2%

Granada
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

30.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Sporting de Gijón - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Granada will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Sanchez D. 6. Nacho Martin 8. Bernal J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 14. Corredera A. 7. Campos G. (C) 19. Otero J.	1. Zidane L. (G) 28. Oppong O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. (C) 11. Arnaiz J. M. 7. Sola A. 19. Pascual J. 17. Faye S.
Substitutes
9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 17. Dubasin J. 34. Garcia A. D. 13. Joel C. (G) 22. Kembo Y. 11. Queipo D. 36. Rodriguez M. 20. Vazquez K.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 10. Bouldini M. 2. Casadesus P. 27. Gambin M. 3. Hormigo D. 36. Juanjo 26. Rodelas S. 20. Ruiz S. 21. Saenz P. 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sanchez D. 🟨,
33', Vazquez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Faye S. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
66', Pascual J. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
74', Bernal J. ↓, Dubasin J. ↑,
74', Campos G. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
77', Ruiz S. 🟨,
82', Oppong O. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
82', Alcaraz R. ↓, Trigueros M. ↑,
82', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Gelabert Pina C. ⚽, Otero J. (A),
90+3', Diallo B. 🟨,
90+7', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 2.

Recent performances by Sporting de Gijón have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Granada is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Granada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sporting de Gijón will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Dubasin J. (Muscle Injury) Garcia P. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury) Perrin L. (Yellow Cards) Smith J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Granada: Hongla M. (Injury) Saenz P. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting de Gijón - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.11%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
06.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Eibar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTLT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Granada - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Tenerife - Granada	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Leonesa - Granada	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Granada - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.25	Granada - Sporting de Gijón	3:1
16.11.24	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:2
02.04.23	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:0
13.10.22	Granada - Sporting de Gijón	5:0
12.04.19	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:0
23.11.18	Granada - Sporting de Gijón	1:2
27.05.18	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	2:1

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