Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres (Luque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo Luqueño		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.63	2.45	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.1	2.78	2.45	Watch
	3.29	2.88	2.63
	3.2	2.78	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.5
	3.22	2.72	2.56	Watch
	3.33	2.62	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.45)	2.78 ↓ (3.36)	2.47 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
29.2%

Draw
33.4%

Nacional Asuncion
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.6%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Asuncion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (C) 22. Ocampos S. 6. Wiechniak F. 2. Riveros P. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 23. Maiz A. 20. Maggi I. 8. Bogado G. 18. Quintana S. 37. Comas L. 10. Diaz S.	30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Feliu J. 3. Canete Torres A. D. 4. Gutierrez T. 5. Benitez G. 8. Jara F. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 10. Arrua C. (C) 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C. 18. Valdez I. 24. Santa C. R.
Substitutes
24. Balbuena A. 14. Benitez F. 3. Brizuela A. 30. Franco T. 15. Maldonado S. 1. Mongelos F. (G) 27. Ojeda M. 35. Pereira A. 7. Pereira K. 25. Ramos J. 11. Ruiz O. 5. Villalba A.	11. Almeida M. 7. Bailone I. 9. Benitez H. A. 31. Cabrera M. 15. Caceres L. 14. Diaz F. 23. Espinola C. 19. Gonzalez L. 13. Meza L. 1. Ortiz G. (G) 17. Santacruz J. 29. Vargas S.
Coaches
Barrios L.	Gimenez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Riveros P. ⚽, Comas L. (A),
44', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
44', Maiz A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Arrua C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Benitez G. ⚽, Canete Torres A. D. (A),
54', Maiz A. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
54', Comas L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
61', Benitez G. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
61', Santa C. R. ↓, Benitez H. A. ↑,
70', Valdez I. ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
83', Jara F. ↓, Meza L. ↑,
86', Diaz S. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
86', Maggi I. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Benitez H. A. ⚽, Gaona Lugo O. (A),
90+1', Meza L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 2.

Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Asuncion - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.63%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.01.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Olimpia Asuncion	2:4 ✺
07.11.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.01.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
20.11.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
14.11.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.25	Atlético Tembetary - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
12.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
29.07.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:1
17.05.25	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	4:0
10.03.25	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:1
21.10.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	2:2
12.08.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0
03.05.24	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1

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