The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Luqueño 50.1%
Draw 27.2%
Sportivo San Lorenzo 22.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.4%
26.2%
21.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
27%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 22. Ocampos S. 2. Barreto M. 6. Wiechniak F. 28. Balbuena A. 21. Ojeda M. 14. Benitez F. 10. Bogado G. 25. Ramos J. 9. Gonzalez W. (C) 20. Maggi I.
31. Franco L. (G) 29. Garcia M. 19. Caceres L. (C) 5. Paredes T. 20. Meza Montiel D. 28. Gerzel G. 32. Aragon F. 21. Gonzalez H. 27. Ortiz E. 9. Barrios J. 23. Ferreira M.
Substitutes
24. Beltran S. 3. Brizuela A. 23. Cantero A. 37. Comas L. 40. Espinola A. (G) 30. Franco T. 26. Lopez O. 8. Maiz A. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 29. Muro T. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M.
24. Aguero M. 8. Amarilla R. 16. Benitez A. 33. Centurion G. (G) 39. Cohener L. 4. Doldan J. 2. Esteche L. 25. Fernandez K. 22. Ferreira Gonzalez K. 13. Fretes I. 7. Salcedo S. 6. Villamayor H.
Coaches
Barrios L.
Fornasari P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. ⚽, Aragon F. (A),
34', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Gonzalez W. ⚽, Maggi I. (A),
42', Ferreira M. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 2, Aragon F. ⚽, Barrios J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ortiz E. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
46', Gerzel G. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
60', Caceres L. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
64', Gonzalez W. ↓, Beltran S. ↑,
65', Balbuena A. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
68', Ramos J. ↓, Pereira K. ↑,
75', Gonzalez H. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Barreto M. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
76', Aragon F. 🟨,
79', Paredes T. 🟨,
84', 3 - 2, Bogado G. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Bogado G. 🟨,
89', Ojeda M. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
89', Aragon F. ↓, Salcedo S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th and 12th).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Sportivo San Lorenzo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Sportivo Luqueño is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueño has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Luqueño against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).