Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres (Luque)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo Luqueño		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.05
	1.89	3.4	4.51
	1.89	3.41	4.14	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.86	3.21	4.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.78)	3.25 ↓ (3.52)	4.25 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
49.7%

Draw
28.5%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.6%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.2%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Sportivo San Lorenzo (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (C) 5. Villalba A. 6. Wiechniak F. 2. Riveros P. 34. Martinez Cubilla A. M. 8. Bogado G. 16. Benitez A. 18. Quintana S. 25. Ramos J. 7. Pereira K. 20. Maggi I.	12. Quinonez W. (G) 2. Esteche L. 13. Lopez M. 21. Gonzalez H. 4. Doldan J. 20. Meza Montiel D. 17. Jara T. 8. Quinonez A. (C) 15. Pinatares B. 30. Galeano A. 35. Colman C.
Substitutes
24. Balbuena A. 14. Benitez F. 3. Brizuela A. 30. Franco T. 28. Gamarra J. 9. Gonzalez W. 23. Maiz A. 15. Maldonado S. 1. Mongelos F. (G) 27. Ojeda M. 35. Pereira A. 11. Ruiz O.	34. Alderete E. 14. Alfonso M. 10. Alvarez A. 18. Aveiro P. 19. Caceres L. 16. Cespedes V. 1. Cristoforo F. (G) 22. Figueroa I. 27. Ortiz E. 36. Paez A. 23. Rivas F. 6. Villamayor H.
Coaches
Sarabia P.	Caceres J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ⚽,
28', Benitez A. 🟨,
31', Martinez Cubilla A. M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Maggi I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramos J. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
46', Martinez Cubilla A. M. ↓, Maldonado S. ↑,
56', Quinonez A. 🟨,
56', Pinatares B. 🟨,
63', Galeano A. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
63', Colman C. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
67', Quintana S. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
67', Pereira K. ↓, Maiz A. ↑,
76', Jara T. ↓, Rivas F. ↑,
76', Meza Montiel D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
80', Bogado G. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).

Recent performances by Sportivo Luqueño have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sportivo San Lorenzo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sportivo Luqueño is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13
12	San Lorenzo	13	0	3	10	4:22	-18	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.03.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
23.02.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	3:2 ✺
13.02.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLTWW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	0:7 ✺
26.02.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Trinidense	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.06.22	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2

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