Match Info

Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres (Luque)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Luqueño		2 de Mayo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.4	Watch
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.05	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2.16	3.14	3.71
	2.09	3.27	3.58	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.09	3.22	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	3.12 ↓ (3.41)	3.49 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
44.2%

Draw
29.5%

2 de Mayo
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

2 de Mayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - 2 de Mayo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (C) 22. Ocampos S. 5. Villalba A. 2. Riveros P. 15. Maldonado S. 16. Benitez A. 23. Maiz A. 8. Bogado G. 18. Quintana S. 30. Franco T. 20. Maggi I.	29. Armoa J. (G) 16. Espinola A. 2. Barreto M. 21. Sosa P. (C) 19. Castro C. 20. Sanabria S. 7. Alfonso E. 18. Acosta M. 30. Farina A. 10. Gomez A. 23. Caceres Aguero F. M.
Substitutes
24. Balbuena A. 14. Benitez F. 21. Bobadilla F. 3. Brizuela A. 37. Comas L. 10. Diaz S. 1. Mongelos F. (G) 27. Ojeda M. 35. Pereira A. 7. Pereira K. 11. Ruiz O. 6. Wiechniak F.	27. Acosta D. 8. Colman O. 11. Coronel U. 15. Davalos Valdez V. 17. Delvalle P. 32. Diaz J. 26. Fretes S. D. 1. Martinez A. (G) 24. Romero O. 9. Ruiz Diaz R. 5. Saiz C. 28. Urquiza M. (G)
Coaches
Sarabia P.	Ledesma E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Armoa J. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
26', Franco T. 🟥,
42', Villalba A. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Caceres Aguero F. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Maiz A. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
46', Quintana S. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
46', Ruiz O. 🟨,
49', 0 - 2, Barreto M. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
53', Farina A. 🟥,
59', Benitez A. 🟨,
63', Alfonso E. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
64', Caceres Aguero F. M. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
69', Riveros P. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
69', Maldonado S. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
72', Castro C. ↓, Coronel U. ↑,
72', Gomez A. ↓, Delvalle P. ↑,
80', Pereira A. ↓, Comas L. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 1.

Recent form of Sportivo Luqueño has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

2 de Mayo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sportivo Luqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	2 de Mayo	13	7	4	2	16:13	3	25
9	Sp. Luqueno	13	4	1	8	14:24	-10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.03.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
02.03.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLT
- CS 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.03.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.26	Sporting Cristal - 2 de Mayo	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
23.01.26	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2
03.10.25	Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo	0:3
25.07.25	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	3:2
02.05.25	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
21.02.25	Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo	0:0
25.11.24	2 de Mayo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2
12.09.24	Sportivo Luqueño - 2 de Mayo	2:3

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