Match Info

Premiership - Relegation - Final

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: The SMISA Stadium (Paisley)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
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World	Onefootball


	St. Mirren		Partick Thistle

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.5	4.55	Watch
	1.79	3.5	5.24
	1.79	3.37	5.06	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.75	3.62	4.56	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	4.71 ↓ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Mirren
53.5%

Draw
26.7%

Partick Thistle
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

27%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

28%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Mirren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Partick Thistle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Mirren than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Partick Thistle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

St. Mirren - Partick Thistle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - St. Mirren (1.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: St. Mirren will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Mirren (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Sinclair R. (G) 22. Fraser M. (C) 13. Gogic A. 21. Freckleton M. 8. Devaney J. 2. Richardson J. 88. Phillips K. 16. Campbell A. 3. Tanser S. 9. Mandron M. 20. Young J.	12. Clarke J. (G) 24. McPherson B. 5. Ashcroft L. (C) 22. Loughrey C. 3. Reading P. 26. Stanway B. 14. Crawford R. 19. McBeth L. 21. Fitzpatrick A. 32. Watt T. 9. Samuel A.
Substitutes
17. Calvin J. 32. Douglas L. 38. Falconer T. 7. Idowu R. 5. King R. 10. McMenamin C. 14. N'Lundulu D. 6. O'Hara M. 35. Tamosevicius G. (G)	1. Budinauckas L. (G) 10. Chalmers L. 42. Dolan L. 39. Falconer M. 64. Letsosa T. 2. Logan C. 11. Mackay-Steven G. 6. Turner K.
Coaches
McLeish C.	Wilson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', McPherson B. ↓, Logan C. ↑,
49', McBeth L. 🟨,
60', Tanser S. 🟨,
62', Campbell A. ↓, O'Hara M. ↑,
62', Young J. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Fraser M. ⚽, O'Hara M. (A),
68', McBeth L. ↓, Chalmers L. ↑,
75', Stanway B. ↓, Letsosa T. ↑,
75', Reading P. ↓, Mackay-Steven G. ↑,
83', Crawford R. ↓, Turner K. ↑,
85', Richardson J. ↓, King R. ↑,
87', Ashcroft L. 🟨,
90', Phillips K. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
90+3', Samuel A. 🟨,
90+3', Gogic A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Partick is Qualified for Premiership (Relegation Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, St. Mirren is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in St. Mirren: Ayunga J. (Injury) Baccus K. (Hamstring Injury) Dijksteel M. (Groin Injury) George S. (Injury) John D. (Inactive) Mullen R. (Injury)

There are questionable in St. Mirren: Phillips K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Partick: McBeth L. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Partick Thistle	8	4	3	1	8:2	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Mirren
Scottish Football Championship
21.05.26	Partick Thistle - St. Mirren	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
17.05.26	St. Mirren - Dundee United	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Aberdeen - St. Mirren	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	St. Mirren - Kilmarnock	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Dundee - St. Mirren	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWLL
- Partick Thistle
Scottish Football Championship
21.05.26	Partick Thistle - St. Mirren	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Partick Thistle - Dunfermline Athletic	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Partick Thistle - Queens Park	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Arbroath - Partick Thistle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
21.05.26	Partick Thistle - St. Mirren	1:1
Scottish Cup
08.03.26	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	2:1
Scottish League Cup
25.07.21	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	2:0
07.10.20	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	4:1
22.07.17	Partick Thistle - St. Mirren	5:0
Scottish Cup
08.01.16	St. Mirren - Partick Thistle	1:2
Scottish Premier League
02.05.15	Partick Thistle - St. Mirren	3:0

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