Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.9	1.7	Watch
	4.33	3.7	1.7
	4.5	4.2	1.65
	4.43	4.25	1.71
	4.48	4.04	1.68	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.67
	4.5	3.82	1.67	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (4.62)	3.98 ↑ (3.97)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
21.1%

Draw
23.4%

Ruch Chorzów
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

23.4%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

22.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wilk A. (G) 4. Furtak L. 22. Banach J. (C) 2. Kukulowicz B. 26. Zaucha P. 30. Wojtkowski K. 21. Mydlarz M. 24. Urban D. 20. Pioterczak B. 23. Svec J. 97. Joao Tavares	1. Szymanski J. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 20. Szymanski S. 17. Lukic A. 38. Karasinski S. 27. Szwoch M. 14. Nono 11. Myszor J. 86. Novothny S. 13. Moneta L. 95. Szczepan D.
Substitutes
77. Chelmecki K. 7. Gorski J. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 18. Pchelka C. 29. Ruszel M. 33. Smylek M. (G) 8. Soszynski L. 11. Strozik S.	24. Baranski B. 28. Borowski F. 6. Chmarek M. 26. Gora L. 7. Kozak M. 23. Mezghrani M. 88. Turk M. (G) 25. Ventura D.
Coaches
Pietrzykowski I.	Szulczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Pioterczak B. 🟨,
13', Myszor J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Furtak L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,
54', Lukic A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, Urban D. ⚽,
61', Pioterczak B. ↓, Chelmecki K. ↑,
61', Mydlarz M. ↓, Soszynski L. ↑,
64', Myszor J. 🟨,
67', Moneta L. 🟨,
67', Nono ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
67', Moneta L. ↓, Mezghrani M. ↑,
67', Karasinski S. ↓, Chmarek M. ↑,
76', Joao Tavares ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
79', Novothny S. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
87', Szczepan D. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
88', Svec J. ↓, Lelek K. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	GKS Tychy - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
01.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Pogoń Siedlce	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Ruch Chorzów	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	3:0 ✺
16.09.24	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	Wisła Płock - Ruch Chorzów	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
06.04.19	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1
15.09.18	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:2

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