The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 50.3%
Draw 26.3%
Gillingham 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.6%
22.4%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
15.5%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stevenage Borough's form might have worsened.
Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
84.6%
7.7%
7.7%
Stevenage Borough - Gillingham Predictions
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 7. Freeman N. 4. Thompson N. (C) 16. Freestone L. 14. Smith K. 37. Doherty R. 26. King E. 18. White H. 17. List E. 20. Pressley A. 30. Young J.
13. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 2. Hutton R. 4. Masterson C. 22. Ogie S. 3. Clark M. (C) 6. Coleman E. 29. Gbode J. 10. Williams J. 17. Clarke J. 7. Nolan J. 9. Andrews J.
Substitutes
27. Aboh K. 25. Bouzanis D. (G) 40. Brown L. 42. Henry R. 10. Kemp D. 12. Simpson T. 38. Thornett A.
38. Dieng T. 5. Ehmer M. 43. Sargent S. 25. Turner J. (G) 24. Wakeling J. 21. Williams E. 18. Wyllie M.
Coaches
Revell A.
Bonner M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Andrews J. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hutton R. ↓, Ehmer M. ↑,
46', Andrews J. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
48', Gbode J. 🟨,
57', Doherty R. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
58', Pressley A. ↓, Simpson T. ↑,
58', Young J. ↓, Aboh K. ↑,
60', White H. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Kemp D. ⚽, Thompson N. (A),
85', List E. ↓, Brown L. ↑,
86', Gbode J. ↓, Sargent S. ↑,
87', King E. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Simpson T. (Pen),
1, Clark M. (Pen),
2, Aboh K. (Pen),
2, Williams J. (Pen),
3, Kemp D. (Pen),
3, Nolan J. (Pen),
4, White H. (Pen),
4, Sargent S. (Pen),
5, King E. (Pen),
5, Wyllie M. (Pen),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Stevenage have a series of home games.
In this match Stevenage is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
United-kingdom
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Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 
King E. 
Pressley A. 
Masterson C. 
Bouzanis D. (G) 
Dieng T. 
Ehmer M. 
Williams E. 
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