Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Rodney Parade (Newport)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)


	Newport County		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.2
	3.2	3.4	2.15
	3.25	3.45	2.15
	3.15	3.4	2.19
	3.29	3.47	2.21
	2.9	3.3	2.4
	3.32	3.44	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.02)	3.42 ↑ (3.32)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport County
29.6%

Draw
27.6%

Portsmouth
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

26.8%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	29.4%	35.3%

Newport County - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newport: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 2.

Recent matches Newport is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portsmouth is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portsmouth will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Hume D. (Injury) Morrell J. (Injury) Reid J. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Newport won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport County
English League Two
20.08.22	Newport County - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Newport County - Salford City	2:3 ✺
13.08.22	Bradford City - Newport County	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Luton Town - Newport County	2:3 ✺
English League Two
06.08.22	Newport County - Walsall	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
20.08.22	Portsmouth - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
16.08.22	Portsmouth - Cambridge United	4:1 ✺
13.08.22	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Cardiff City - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
English League One
06.08.22	Portsmouth - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.03.17	Portsmouth - Newport County	2:1
26.12.16	Newport County - Portsmouth	2:3
12.03.16	Portsmouth - Newport County	0:3
17.10.15	Newport County - Portsmouth	0:1
10.01.15	Newport County - Portsmouth	1:0
30.08.14	Portsmouth - Newport County	0:1
29.03.14	Newport County - Portsmouth	1:2

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