Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 5

Date: 26 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Broadhall Way (Stevenage)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Stevenage Borough		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.7
	2.7	3.25	2.7
	2.77	3.36	2.67
	2.38	3.1	2.6
	2.68	3.32	2.61	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.49)	3.26 ↓ (3.38)	2.65 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stevenage Borough
35.6%

Draw
28.9%

Portsmouth
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.8%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 7. MacDonald A. 5. Piergianni C. 17. Burns F. 3. Butler D. 23. Thompson L. 8. Forster-Caskey J. 24. Thompson B. 19. Reid J. 20. Pressley A. 11. Roberts J.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 5. Poole R. 18. Shaughnessy C. 6. Ogilvie C. 11. Whyte G. 7. Pack M. (C) 25. Kamara A. 16. Morrell J. 21. Sparkes J. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
16. Anderson H. 25. Hannam R. 12. Hegyi K. (G) 9. List E. 18. March J. 22. Neal H. 6. Sweeney D.	24. Devlin T. 32. Lane P. 20. Raggett S. 8. Robertson A. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 2. Swanson Z.
Coaches
Evans S.	Mousinho J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 2.

Stevenage is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portsmouth in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stevenage Borough
English League One
19.08.23	Reading - Stevenage Borough	2:0 ✺
15.08.23	Cambridge United - Stevenage Borough	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Stevenage Borough - Watford	2:1 penalties ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LWWWW
- Portsmouth FC
English EFL Trophy
22.08.23	Portsmouth - Fulham U21	4:3 penalties ✺
English League One
19.08.23	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	0:0 ✺
15.08.23	Portsmouth - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Leyton Orient - Portsmouth	0:4 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	3:0
English League Cup
29.08.20	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	3:4 penalties
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:1
14.07.18	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	3:2
English League Two
18.03.17	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	3:0
26.11.16	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	1:2
05.03.16	Stevenage Borough - Portsmouth	0:2

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