Match Info

League One - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	LTFC+


	Stockport County		Luton Town

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.3	3.7	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.55	Watch
	2.25	3.33	3.39
	2.16	3.23	3.20	Watch
	2.12	3.26	3.46	Watch
	2.29	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)	3.29 ↓ (3.29)	3.4 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
43.8%

Draw
28.6%

Luton Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Stockport County - Luton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stockport County will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 2. O'Keeffe C. 16. Connolly C. 15. Pye E. 21. Moxon O. 27. Bailey O. 8. Camps C. 3. Dodgson O. 9. Lowe N. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K. (C)	24. Keeley J. (G) 15. Mengi T. 5. Andersen M. 3. Naismith K. (C) 33. Bramall C. 23. Saville G. 27. Richards J. 22. Fanne L. 8. Walsh L. 25. Jones I. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
34. Addai C. (G) 22. Andresson B. 10. Fevrier J. 18. Fiorini L. 48. Gardner C. 11. Mothersille M. 5. Olowu J.	12. Al Hamadi A. 7. Alli M. 30. Kodua G. 17. Lonwijk N. 16. Odoffin H. 1. Shea J. (G) 9. Yates J.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Wilshere J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Dodgson O. 🟨,
30', Naismith K. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Richards J. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Bramall C. ⚽,
41', Bramall C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Saville G. 🟨,
56', Lowe N. (Pen),
65', Lowe N. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,
65', Camps C. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
65', Keeley J. 🟨,
69', 0 - 3, Jones I. ⚽, Richards J. (A),
72', Richards J. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
77', Diamond J. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
78', Bramall C. ↓, Odoffin H. ↑,
81', Dodgson O. 🟨,
84', Bailey O. ↓, Fiorini L. ↑,
86', Fanne L. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
86', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 10).

Stockport is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stockport will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Stockport: Bate L. (Knee Injury) Edun T. (Ankle Injury) Hills B. (Inactive)

There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Morris S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stockport: Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Mothersille M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Luton: Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Walters R. (Groin Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Stockport won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Tranmere Rovers - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
English League One
27.10.25	Port Vale - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Stockport County - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Stockport County - Blackpool	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Salford City - Stockport County	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL
- Luton Town
English FA Cup
31.10.25	Luton Town - Forest Green Rovers	4:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
28.10.25	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	3:1 ✺
English League One
25.10.25	Northampton Town - Luton Town	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Luton Town - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Cambridge United - Luton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
19.03.13	Luton Town - Stockport County	1:0
02.03.13	Stockport County - Luton Town	0:1

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