Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 44

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)


	Stockport County		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.27	5.5	10.5
	1.25	5.5	10
	1.26	5.95	12.69
	1.27	5	12
	1.27	5.55	11.25	Watch
	1.24	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	5.46 ↑ (4.2)	11.49 ↑ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
74.6%

Draw
17.2%

Rochdale
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

22.3%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

21.7%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stockport County's performance.

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Stockport County - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Stockport has the most likely position - 4 (31.73%), project points - 78, currently - 72, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (80%), a chance of promoted (43%), not chance of win league.

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (95.26%), project points - 37, currently - 34, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 10, importance 36, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Stockport is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Stockport is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stockport won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League Two
18.04.23	Carlisle United - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Gillingham - Stockport County	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Stockport County - Newport County	4:0 ✺
07.04.23	Sutton United - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
31.03.23	Stockport County - Salford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWT
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
18.04.23	Rochdale - Tranmere Rovers	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Rochdale - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
10.04.23	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Rochdale - Walsall	4:2 ✺
01.04.23	AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.02.23	Rochdale - Stockport County	1:2
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Rochdale - Stockport County	1:2
Club Friendly
17.07.18	Stockport County - Rochdale	0:1

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