Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 43

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)


	Rochdale		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	3.1
	2.37	3.2	3
	2.4	3.2	2.95
	2.43	3.24	3.19
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.34	3.3	3.06	Watch
	2.32	3.1	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.58)	3.22 ↑ (3.08)	3.04 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
39.7%

Draw
29.2%

Tranmere Rovers
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Rochdale - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (91.94%), project points - 37, currently - 33, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Tranmere has the most likely position - 13 (15.63%), project points - 58, currently - 53, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has very small quality 7, very small importance 2, very small match rating 5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
15.04.23	Rochdale - Bradford City	0:3 ✺
10.04.23	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Rochdale - Walsall	4:2 ✺
01.04.23	AFC Wimbledon - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Crawley Town - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTWWL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
15.04.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
10.04.23	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
07.04.23	Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers	2:0 ✺
31.03.23	Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Colchester United - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
25.10.22	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	1:1
15.01.22	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	2:0
11.09.21	Rochdale - Tranmere Rovers	1:0
English League One
03.08.19	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	2:3
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Tranmere Rovers - Rochdale	1:3
English League One
20.03.12	Rochdale - Tranmere Rovers	N/A

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