Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Japan	DAZN Japan
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Stoke City		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.75	4.33
	1.85	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.84	3.74	4.1
	5.61	3.76	1.60	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.2
	1.81	3.78	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.73)	3.7 ↓ (4.07)	3.85 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
44.6%

Draw
28.2%

Bradford City
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Stoke City - Bradford City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bradford (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Stoke (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Bradford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bradford (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bradford (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bonham J. (G) 57. Mears J. 26. Phillips A. 40. Talovierov M. 17. Bocat E. 4. Pearson B. (C) 18. Lawal B. 56. Fawunmi F. 14. Donley J. 58. Chibueze C. 11. Bozenik R.	1. Walker S. (C) 15. Baldwin A. 4. Wright J. 18. Kelly C. 2. Halliday B. 21. Metcalfe J. 20. Leigh T. 3. Touray I. 32. Lapslie G. 17. Wright T. 24. Swan W.
Substitutes
10. Bae J. 8. Baker L. 34. Fielding F. (G) 23. Gibson B. 42. Manhoef M. 12. Seko T. 46. Smith W. 22. Tchamadeu J. 7. Thomas S.	31. Hadi Z. (G) 25. Hilton J. (G) 7. Neufville J. 16. Pattison A. 23. Pointon B. 22. Powell N. 6. Power M. 26. Tilt C.
Coaches
Robins M.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Swan W. ⚽, Wright T. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Halliday B. ⚽, Lapslie G. (A),
39', Kelly C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
61', Metcalfe J. ↓, Pattison A. ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Lapslie G. ⚽,
63', Lawal B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
63', Talovierov M. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
72', Pearson B. ↓, Smith W. ↑,
76', Wright T. ↓, Pointon B. ↑,
76', Lapslie G. ↓, Neufville J. ↑,
76', Swan W. ↓, Powell N. ↑,

Preview

Stoke is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bradford is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stoke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bradford has had a series of away games.

In this match, Stoke is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Bradford: Byrne N. (Knee Injury) Cook A. (Knee Injury) Wright J. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Cisse L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Kavanagh C. (Inactive)

We predict that Stoke will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
23.08.25	Southampton - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Stoke City - Walsall	1:0 penalties ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Stoke City - Derby County	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Stoke City - Burnley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW
- Bradford City
English League One
23.08.25	Peterborough United - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Stockport County - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bradford City - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Blackburn Rovers - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
English League One
09.08.25	Northampton Town - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 TWWWT

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