Match Info

Date: 24 August 2021, Tuesday


	Stoke City		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.4	4.6	7.25
	1.43	4.5	7.15
	1.39	4.6	7.4
	1.41	4.69	7.7
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.4	4.8	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	4.53 ↑ (3.96)	7.56 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
66.8%

Draw
20.8%

Doncaster Rovers
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.6%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

19.1%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City's performance.

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Stoke City - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Stoke City will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stoke in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Doncaster is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Stoke is absolute favorite.

In this match Stoke is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stoke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
21.08.21	Stoke City - Nottingham Forest	1:0 ✺
17.08.21	Swansea City - Stoke City	1:3 ✺
14.08.21	Birmingham City - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Stoke City - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
English League Championship
07.08.21	Stoke City - Reading	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
21.08.21	Doncaster Rovers - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
17.08.21	Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Doncaster Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
10.08.21	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
07.08.21	Doncaster Rovers - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
09.01.16	Doncaster Rovers - Stoke City	1:2

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